We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk. Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI. New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇

Another slop hit piece against Prediction Markets. Straight into the trash. Mainstream journalists just can't understand that prediction markets are NOT SportsBooks 1) "Polymarket and Kalshi are setting odds as to capture insider informations" I don't know what this is supposed to mean in the best of case. But Polymarket is not setting any odds anyway, the market does. They have no control over that. 2) "Prediction markets could incur financial losses if they let insiders win" Prediction markets do not bet against their users. This is what SportsBooks do. Prediction markets are a neutral platforms where users bet against other users. They do not care who loses or win a bet. 3) "Prediction markets give opportunities for world leaders to insider trade" True but they didn't wait on Prediction Markets and they are not even good for that. Every time Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran, we saw Billion dollars oil future trades hit the market a few minute before, making hundred of millions in profit. Try to place a billion dollar order on Geopolitical prediction markets with a few hundred thousands of liquidity. For some reason Mainstream media seems to absolutely hate prediction markets and churn out these trash hit pieces on the regular. I would advise @polymarket to put a few dollars from their marketing budget into educating the wider public. Because this may seem very retarded to us, but so are the people reading it, and they vote.

It is rare for an ad to stop me these days. This one stopped me cold. Whatever your view of prediction markets -- and this is not an endorsement — the team behind this ad created something genuinely remarkable. 👏👏👏

hiring a growth engineer to work closely with me on bringing Polymarket to the next billion users if your GitHub looks like this, you’re probably a good candidate: email me legate @ poly with subject “Growth Engineer” to apply — include 3-5 bullet points + link to your GitHub

Today, @Bloomberg exposed a $1.5M "insider" on Polymarket. Turns out it's someone I know. But it also turns out they're not an insider either. Just a regular Polymarket user. Here's how Bloomberg spent weeks investigating one wallet and still got it wrong: (1/9)

If you want to build perps for both retail and pro users, we’re hiring experienced perps backend engineers at Polymarket. If you’re interested, DM me what you worked on before. Rust experience ideal.

We're excited to announce Polymarket has facilitated the first ever on-chain, institutional block trade in the prediction market space. Institutions using Polymarket to hedge GPU compute exposure at scale give a glimpse into both the future & the promise of prediction markets.