We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk.
Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI.
New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇
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On June 13, Polymarket removed the taker delay for all World Cup matches. Here's what a goal looks like without it for the ARG win market at the 85' mark:
- 13,848 shares were resting within 5¢ of the ask when the ball crossed
- 90% of all cancels occurred within 65ms of each other
- First post-goal taker order lands 63ms behind the cancels and picks off less than $800
- Total sniped on a 3x book move: <$1,000 (600+ total active maker addresses, 11 adversely filled)
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Man 4 million shares of liquidity with .1 cent spread, Poly US is something else
Polymarket has distributed over $85m in rewards to 600k+ users across 5 programs.
$12m in rewards were before we had any fees and made any money.
s/o @kober1337 @PolyScalping for the great dashboard:
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Great dashboard on Polymarket perps
Polymarket Perps Statistics
Key stats:
Total volume: $7.21B
TVL: $23.41M
Average daily volume: $109.19M
Open interest: $22.61M
Unique traders: 2,068
Total trades: $6.77M
More Polymarket Perps stats:
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⚽ Prediction markets, powered by @Polymarket, are now available in the Blockchain app.
Introducing Gondor v1, the first margin account for Polymarket
Cross-margin your positions, borrow against the entire portfolio and use the credit to buy more shares
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Crazy PGA Markets, LP should drop soon lol
The new Combos Leaderboard is clean
ANNOUNCING: The Combo Cup.
$50k in daily bonuses — paid out to the top Combo trades on Polymarket.com
Ends July 31st.
Place any combo here:
Joined Polymarket a year ago.
Craziest year of my life.
Back to work.
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I’ve joined the data team @Polymarket!
Wild to think this started on the couch, next to my pregnant wife, hacking away on Polymarket Analytics on nights & weekends.
Now I'm building alongside an incredible team inside Polymarket — excited for what we’ll build together!
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one of the biggest sports days today
England vs Norway on Kairos
we got England 3 : 1 Norway @0charlie01
40x YoY increase in markets created by Polymarket
Did you know that Polymarket distributes more than half of collected fees back to users?
There’s been a lot of criticism directed at Polymarket lately due to the increase in fees, but let’s look at the data:
Total fees collected: $135.92M
Distributed as rewards and rebates: $74.67M
More than half of collected fees have been distributed back to users.
This money primarily supports market makers and active traders, helping improve liquidity across Polymarket markets.
Data from the @PolyScalping dashboard:
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Yesterday we sent over $4m to ~30k users to backfill taker rebates and level up bonuses.
The majority of our fees go back to our users via:
1. Taker rebates + level up bonuses
2. Maker rebates
3. Liquidity rewards
4. Referral rewards
5. Affiliate program
6. Builder rewards
7. Yield on select markets
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Polymarket Taker Rebates were finally distributed
Just over a month has passed since the Taker Tiers was added to @Polymarket
And today, the team distributed rewards for tiers. With the rebates
Some trader got ~$40K from them. He had the Diamond tier
Is this new meta on Poly?
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How much does Polymarket actually keep from fees?
A common mistake is to look at total fees and assume all of them become Polymarket revenue.
But according to our data, 55.2% of collected fees have been returned to users through rewards and rebates.
Total fees collected: $129.62M
Returned to users: $71.61M
Remaining after user rewards: $58.01M
Data:
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excuse me
trading $HYPE market order for $1m is cheapest on Polymarket Perps even cheaper than on 0% fee perps (Lighter & Variational)
source:
Introducing Falcon, the strongest Prediction market API in the game.
Really cool to see what @VaingloriousETH and team have done with @poly_data 👏
Introducing Polymarket Analytics V3
Trade directly from the platform with every wallet, market, and insight at your fingertips.
BANANA PREDICT Terminal is LIVE! 🍌🔫
Trade @polymarket with Banana speed. $25k in prizes for July.
Link in comments ↓
Big move incoming for data API.
Expect more reliability in the incoming week, bringing everything inhouse was the right move for both scaling and accuracy
We’re also working toward a closer to real time positions, trades and PnL that will improve a lot your UX Website experience
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