There were 3 min to use the LeBron James Next Team market outcome and make 2x on another market At 3.31 pm utc, Polymarket priced Philadelphia 76ers at 99.5% odds on the LeBron James Next Team market. It was only at 3.34 pm when Philadelphia 76ers odds on the NBA: 2027 Champion market started going up. As a result, odds pumped from 7.4% to 12.4% Retail literally took 3 min to realise that team with LeBron now had a better real chance of winning and to start buying. That window could be your opportunity to enter at the best price It's a great case of how one market relies on another. What’s more, this happens across all feeds. And you can turn this to your edge Understanding the market means seeing exactly where capital flows next. Don't trade the news. Trade the latency

I'm sure Clarity Act will be signed into law. But will it happen this year? Currently, Polymarket gives 39% odds for the Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 market. But I think the actual chances may be lower Senate Majority Leader said yesterday he didn't expect this to be passed before the August recess. However, that period was considered the most likely for signing. Because after that, the calendar gets much tighter and getting 60 votes becomes harder I see this scenario: buy NO rn at 39% odds, and then sell it after the end of the recess when odds become even lower You don't need to hold until resolution to earn. Capture the mispricing and hunt the next edge

POLYMARKET HAS JUST SURPASSED $100B IN NOTIONAL TRADING VOLUME As I predicted, this happened before the end of the month. And for now, July 2026 is the biggest month according to this metric @williamlegate told me $1T soon. Retail will only catch on to this meta when we’re already halfway there

I think now’s the best time to make money on Polymarket Perps Not just by trading there. But by using inefficiencies. For example, you can profit from price diff between Perps and other exchanges On Polymarket, BTC, NVDA, and gold track spot prices. If the price on another exchange diverges from the Perps price, you can catch the spread. And earn money when the prices converge However, this only works while few ppl know about it. Such spreads occur more often rn because the Perps engine is new and liquidity is thin It’s gone once liquidity arrives. Don't fade free money

Combos Cup rules are completely diff now It's not about catching a 110x lucky combo to get into the top 5 anymore Now each of the top 100 will receive $500. And it’s much easier than it was before - for example, yesterday a 2.4x combo was enough I find this approach way better for real users. It rewards ppl who actually use that feature. Not just bonus hunters You literally hate money if you fade an ez $500 for a basic combo

Why do ppl dispute smth obvious like this? It’s crazy that someone is trying to deny that Trump was in the World Cup Champions photo. FIFA has already published pics of Trump with the team lifting the trophy. So why is there still dispute on the market about this? The odds are already almost 100%. Many experienced Polymarket traders hold YES. Some of them even hold over $1.25m in shares Retail copium is whale yield. The market always forces reality

US INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS NOW HAVE ACCESS TO POLYMARKET Hedge funds, MMs, asset managers, and other institutionals can now trade fully CFTC-regulated event contracts CFTC regulation brings institutional liquidity. Institutional liquidity brings absolute market efficiency Gl keeping your $500 vibe position alive against a Wall Street MM

Once again the government is trying to bury the truth by blocking Polymarket The French government made Internet Service Providers block Polymarket domain entirely I'm sure they did this not because of trading since it was geoblocked a long time ago. But because of the Next French Presidential Election market which displays Marine LePen, a political opponent of the current government, as favourite Btw, smth like this has happened before. Hungary also blocked Polymarket domain when its elections were held, and opposition widely shared and celebrated odds from the Next Prime Minister market Government bans don't change odds. They just make domestic retail blind. Imagine thinking a DNS block stops web3 degens in 2026

THE UNEXPECTED MILITARY CLASH BETWEEN CHINA AND PHILIPPINES A completely ridiculous event just triggered a massive market resolution. The Chinese Coast Guard and the Philippine Navy literally beat each other with oars It sounds like a joke but one Philippine soldier was injured, and both sides officially declared it unacceptable violence Retail was buying NO believing an oar fight doesn't count. But Polymarket clarified this is valid. And the market resolved as YES I fully agree with the resolution. That's exactly how it was bound to resolve based on the rules Knowing market mechanics is an edge. Don't give that away to others. There's PVP

$218K biggest win, and he joined Polymarket just a month ago. Meet Themsnw A fresh account (joined in July 2026), already with 88 predictions and one of the hottest sports traders on Polymarket rn He almost exclusively makes high conviction bets on specific outcomes: > $125K position on LeBron James joining the Miami Heat for the 2026–27 season (still open) > Large position on Facundo Acosta at the Generali Open, already up $27K > A few other LeBron-related markets, plus some selective political bets He clearly knows this space extremely well and seems very confident in his edge. Definitely a skilled trader who knows how to trade large size on Polymarket within his niche. His profile: I found him through @BananaGun, where you can easily track and copy this wallet in just a couple of clicks.

SPAIN HAS JUST DESTROYED ARGENTINA’S PLOT ARMOR Many ppl thought if Argentina had made it to the final, they were bound to win it. Polymarket perfectly reflected that cope But Spain showed today that skill matters more than the dreams of fans. They kept Argentina under pressure during the entire match to score 1 goal which secured them the WC26 Champions title Sorry if you missed that match. Mb you'll have another chance after 4 years

I think the World Cup: Golden Boot Winner market is significantly mispriced The market puts 93% odds on Kylian Mbappe winning the Golden Boot. With 10 goals and 4 assists, he's now the top 1 contender. Meanwhile, the 2nd contender is Messi, with 8 goals and 4 assists, and the market prices his win at 7% Messi has to score 2 goals and 1 assist or a hat-trick to surpass Mbappe. And he needs to do this in a game against a team which has conceded just only 1 goal throughout this wc. It's a very tough task driven mostly by fans copium Most realistic outcome is that Mbappe keeps the Golden Boot. Imo, it's currently priced quite low considering the stats above A 7% return for a 90-min game is massive APY. True zero-risk doesn't exist in sports but at this +EV it’s the easiest play rn

I think the World Cup: Golden Boot Winner market is significantly mispriced The market puts 93% odds on Kylian Mbappe winning the Golden Boot. With 10 goals and 4 assists, he's now the top 1 contender. Meanwhile, the 2nd contender is Messi, with 8 goals and 4 assists, and the market prices his win at 7% Messi has to score 2 goals and 1 assist or a hat-trick to surpass Mbappe. And he needs to do this in a game against a team which has conceded just only 1 goal throughout this wc. It's a very tough task driven mostly by fans copium Most realistic outcome is that Mbappe keeps the Golden Boot. Imo, it's currently priced quite low considering the stats above A 7% return for a 90-min game is massive APY. True zero-risk doesn't exist in sports but at this +EV it’s the easiest play rn

Polymarket US has almost caught up to Polymarket Intl Montly Notional Trading Volume jumped from 1.6% to 34.4% there While you were distracted by the daily noise, Polymarket quietly made a massive comeback in the US market

I’ve been tracking smart money on Polymarket, and I just uncovered a trader with a ridiculous edge He made $173k PnL with an 80.6% win rate across 725 predictions just by systematically buying NO on long-term macro markets. No emotions, zero gambling, just disciplined high-conviction trades This is exactly the kind of alpha I look for. I found his wallet through @bananagun and set it to copy You can keep gambling with the crowd, or you can start following real edge

I love trading on Polymarket because on top of my PnL, I earn additional money: LP rewards, Maker rebates, Taker rebates, etc. The platform spent over 56% of its revenue on these user incentives. $85m distributed between 600k+ users There are dozens of ways to get those rewards whether you're trading or just providing liquidity If you haven’t figured out how to take your cut, you’re just paying for our profits

Save this 14% return strategy for the 2030 World Cup Smart traders spotted an inefficiency on the World Cup Winner market and made a 14% return on any size with almost no risk I’m sure there’ll be a similar opportunity at the next WС. So you should learn this strategy now It's not arbitrage. Not a bond. It's just a mispricing The logic is simple: one of the 14 favourite teams will win. And none of the bottom 20 will pull off an upset At this WC, buying shares for all 14 favorites cost just 86%. Traders didn’t have to wait for the final because only favourites remained by semi-finals. That 86% naturally became 100%, and they took their 14% profit I love this because the crowd never changes. People will always chase an underdog story, completely breaking the real odds Bookmark this tweet rn. Return to it two months before the 2030 World Cup to print money on this exact strategy

Polymarket is quietly building their biggest feature yet The team filed for the wordmark "CREATE YOUR OWN MARKET" That means we will def be able to create markets directly from the website. No more submitting Discord requests like we do rn The way I see it, if they let creators earn fees from the volume of their markets, this changes everything But shipping this feature isn't gonna be easy. There are still many details to figure out regarding liquidity, safe resolution, and maintaining the Polymarket standard What market are you creating first?

ARGENTINA SEEMS TO HAVE PLOT ARMOR I'm really shocked how everything is going so well for Argentina: an easy play-off bracket, surviving every draw, and controversial ref decisions in their favour Ppl even doubt if it's fair. They created a petition to get them disqualified, and it's already gathered 6 million signatures Lmao Odds of Argentina winning WC26 have climbed from a low of 8.3% to 42% on Polymarket. Will plot armor help them in the final match against Spain?

In early June, before wc26 started, World Cup Winner market volume was $1.8b on Polymarket For now, it's sitting at over $4b. And the tournament isn’t even over yet The entire world is predicting it rn. Nobody wants to sleep on the event of the year Are we breaking $5b before it’s all over?