This trader turned $10,000 into $136,000
Here’s what happened:
He aggressively bought Yes on the market "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?" when it was trading at just 6-7 cents.
The market resolved in his favor.
Even stranger: today he started doing the exact same thing on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?"
Same pattern. Same low entry prices.
Will he get lucky again?
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This trader turned $10,000 into $136,000
Here’s what happened:
He aggressively bought Yes on the market "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?" when it was trading at just 6-7 cents.
The market resolved in his favor.
Even stranger: today he started doing the exact same thing on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?"
Same pattern. Same low entry prices.
Will he get lucky again?
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The history of Polymarket is truly INSANE!
Back in 2020, Shayne Coplan tweeted:
"The Polymarket public beta is live!"
Fast forward 6 years later:
> Over 122 million visits in Q1 2026 alone
> Billions in monthly trading volume
> One of the strongest brands in all of crypto
> Preparing for what could be one of the biggest token launches ever
What started as a small prediction market experiment has become a legitimate industry leader
Huge respect to Shayne Coplan and the entire team for building something this big!
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1/
The Polymarket public beta is live!
Trade liquid, USDC-based Information Markets on Coronavirus 🦠, Politics 🇺🇸, and Crypto 💹. It's like nothing you've tried on Ethereum before.
Visit to start trading and winning.
#
Ethereum# #
DeFi#
quick thread👇
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$POLY on pre-market hit $38 and now sits at $23
At the same time, Polymarket:
> Over $9m in revenue in the last 7 days
> Moving towards their own chain
> Perp DEX coming soon
This combination is creating serious momentum:
The $POLY launch has the potential to be one of the biggest token launches in crypto history
yeah, this is worth your attention
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no way profile views actually matter for the airdrop
head of growth keeps dropping small hints about the criteria
maybe this is the “???” from the deleted tweet I posted earlier
OGs and good traders are already getting profile views on Polymarket
another reason to put your Polymarket profile in bio. otherwise why even add this metric?..
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Polymarket airdrop in 3 steps
- trade
- post on X
- repeat
Done.
@76Tensai @Polymarket Linking your X account to your Poly account is only a third of the equation. You also should probably (what do I know) link your Polymarket profile in your X bio & actively share your trades/wins/insights with the community here :)
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did a Polymarket intern just accidentally leak the airdrop criteria?
they deleted the tweet a few minutes later
WE ARE SO CLOSE
did a Polymarket intern just accidentally leak the airdrop criteria?
they deleted the tweet a few minutes later
WE ARE SO CLOSE
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
6% -> 32% because of one headline saying the virus is already killing people
Covid broke public risk perception. People are way too sensitive to headlines like this now, but a dangerous virus doesn’t automatically mean pandemic
Deadly local outbreaks happen all the time and most of them never go anywhere because they just don’t spread like that. Hantaviruses were described in 1978 and people still get infected sometimes
anyway wash your hands
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No doubt Polymarket is already on a whole different level compared to other PMs
Polymarket is the #
1# brand account on all of 𝕏 so far this year & now bigger than Fox News & The White House 👀
>> be
@Polymarket
>> 1998: Shayne Coplan born, Upper West Side. public school kid
>> 2013: age 14. cold-emails the SEC. wants to build his own stock exchange
>> 2014: buys Ethereum at $0.30
>> 2019(around): drops out of NYU. moves to Lower East Side
>> 2019: he wrote economist Hanson a paragraphs-long email proclaiming he wanted "to be the person to bring prediction markets to life" Hanson ignored it
>> 2020: COVID hits. builds a prediction market alone in his apartment first markets: will there be a vaccine by December?
>> October 2020: raises $4M. Naval Ravikant writes the check
>> 2020 election: correctly calls Biden weeks before anyone else
>> 2022: CFTC fines you $1.4M. calls you an unregistered derivatives platform block all US users. pivot international hire the former CFTC chair as your advisor
>> June 2023: Titan submersible goes missing. someone opens a market "Will it be found by June 23?" goes viral everyone discovers you exist
>> 2024: $70M raised. Vitalik and Peter Thiel both write checks Nate Silver joins as advisor election night
>> 2024: every poll shows a toss-up Polymarket shows Trump. clearly Trump wins one French trader moves your markets more than every pollster combined
>> November 2024: FBI raids Coplan's apartment. seizes his devices Polymarket calls it "obvious political retribution"
>> October 2025: NYSE's parent company invests $2B. values you at $8B
>> October 2025: Coplan becomes youngest self-made billionaire. age 27
>> March 2026: $600M follow-on. valuation hits $9B
The kid who emailed the SEC at 14 built the platform that made every poll irrelevant. He still doesn't have a fully regulated US exchange. Working on it
Video: Forbes
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The release everyone was waiting for is now live. Ghost fills dropped from a peak of 30% to 0.17% with the rollout, and will continue trending toward 0% throughout the day.
We know this issue was hurting everyone's experience and we're truly sorry for that but it should now be night and day. This was a significant core protocol change and we're incredibly proud of the whole team for executing it.
We'll keep improving our systems, step by step, until we're the best exchange in the world.
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> be Matthew Modabber
> join Polymarket as CMO in Jan 2024 as the 10th employee after selling BeReal
> start gtm from 200 daus & sub $10 million in monthly volume
> make Polymarket a household name, there were many prediction markets before Poly
> have every prediction market copy the playbook
> ask a streamer to stop streaming him at an event
> get subjugated to speculation from paid shills over literally nothing
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The only thing more accurate than this ranking is Polymarket
Been there every day last Q
Grateful the DOJ officially acknowledged Polymarket's cooperation on this case.
Noise aside, the reality is we work proactively with all relevant authorities on any suspicious activity on our marketplace. We flagged this, referred it, and cooperated throughout the process. This happens constantly behind the scenes, despite what many are led to believe.
The transparency afforded by onchain markets makes global compliance more effective than ever. Every trade is public, permanent, and auditable. Bad actors leave a trail.
As with any fast growing new space, we're adapting and improving as we go. We appreciate the government's willingness to collaborate, learn, and engage with us to bring justice.
More to come.
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Polymarket is gonna launch Perps
The expansion is continuing
BREAKING: US x Iran ceasefire agreement has reportedly been reached.
Amazing how Kalshi influencers all just jump on the same anti polymarket story with the same talking points at exactly the same time. Totally organic!
I made $1,600 in a couple of hours betting that the US and Iran won’t reach a ceasefire before April 7
At first I planned to hold this position to the end, but now I think it’s smarter to take the profit and rotate liquidity into another prediction
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Trump said in his speech that the war with Iran will continue for another 2-3 weeks
There’s no way there’s a ceasefire before April 7, so I’m just making $2,500