I disagree here regarding $LIT unlocks being a nothing burger
The Bitstamp FUD is pretty irrelevant, but the unlock FUD isn't, and it'll increasingly be the biggest impediment to allocations to $LIT in the next quarter if they aren't sorted out/gotten ahead of
The "bullish unlock" as a phenomena is highly contextual and nuanced. The market "knows" these are coming, but they've also been conditioned by
@HyperliquidX to expect them to be lighter 😏 than the current unlock schedule indicates.
If they come out as scheduled, it'll be a problem.
Lighter has one of the most talented teams in crypto, but that also means that team has some of the most optionality and leverage if they want to pivot to AI or other crypto startups.
Unless Vlad can evangelize the team and get them to buy in to price targets 10x or 50x higher, as I'm sure Jeff did with the Hyperliquid team, there's a whole lot of talent that can get paid a whole lot of money elsewhere.
At the end of the day, it's all about trust. If Vlad get's ahead of the unlocks and communicates the plan effectively and can rally the investors/team into buying in for higher/longer, it'll be a huge headwind removed from $LIT.
But the market doesn't extend the same level of blind faith to Vlad as they do to Jeff, quite the opposite. News, deals, and events from Lighter have regularly felt leaked and front ran as opposed to Hyperliquid which is pretty airtight. In this regard, there really is no second best compared to
@HyperliquidX; they are in a league of their own with regards to community trust and good will.
I'm buying $LIT here because I think the Bitstamp news was a knee-jerk reaction to a headline that ultimately means nothing, but if I'm wrong, it'll likely be due to poor handling of the upcoming unlocks.
The setup did just become more contrarian and asymmetric though, and I think the invalidation of the $LIT wall of worry regarding unlocks/Bitstamp combined with even the slightest hint of good news from the CFTC could lead to pretty explosive upside if people are sidelined after this.