I love @Polymarket
That's it, that's the tweet.
I love @Polymarket
That's it, that's the tweet.
I’m emphasising you to check out one the first institutional grade research piece on the Situational Awareness situation and how they’ve been eaten and played by old Wall Street and how traders and users used signals on @Polymarket
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Situational Awareness went from AI market darling to forced seller of its entire $16B equity book in 48 hours.
This is the story of how Polymarket traders sniffed out the bust before mainstream media, and what they think happens next in the AI trade.
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It passed relatively unnoticed that @Polymarket launched the @Poly_Institute a few days ago.
They’re setting up the first proper research Institute dedicated to prediction markets - independent academic work, open data, and actual fellowships.
They’re funding 12 PhD researchers with $10k each through the Science Fellowship.
Applications open August 18.
Researchers get full independence - they can publish whatever they want, even if it’s critical of Polymarket but they’re barred from trading while they’re in the program.
More information below:
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We're excited to announce the launch of the Polymarket Institute — a research initiative designed to advance the academic study of prediction markets & their role in forecasting, decision-making, & information discovery.
🧵
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As mentioned below -
@Polymarket team added option to hide your discord profile from public view
Settings -> Profile -> Social Connections
and use the slider to turn on/off
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@ikarusz26 As far as I know team will introduce option to hide it from public view
Saw Rooke was stuck on his case for a long time yesterday. Jumped on it with the team, fully closed in 12 hours.
Our CX has been overloaded, and we’re rebuilding it from the ground up. Anyone who knows Shayne knows customer support is his #1# priority. Cases like Rooke’s genuinely kill him, and that urgency runs through the whole team.
If you’re stuck like Rooke was, DM me. I’ll get you escalated while we rebuild.
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Finally, the update I did want to write: I can report that the refund has been successfully processed, so this case is now closed for good.
I would like to thank the CX team, from the very speedy @devjoshstevens to @chrund1e, @kea1on and Candiey, plus of course @shayne_coplan 1/
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@ikarusz26 As far as I know team will introduce option to hide it from public view
Been looking at the institutional side over at
Event-based markets set up nicely for macro hedging and risk management (with data feeds that plug into ICE). Ties in with what I posted about ICE the other day
Feels pretty useful for desks that actually need clean, structured probabilities.
If you’re on the institutional side, worth checking out:
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We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk.
Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI.
New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇
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We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk.
Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI.
New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇
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You can now go long or short Mag7 stocks on Polymarket.com
Up to 10x leverage. No market hours. No expiry.
Trade 👇
$TSLA
$GOOGL
$MSFT
$META
$AMZN
$AAPL
$NVDA
Made an article about this few weeks ago
It appears that for the first time in the history of filings with the CFTC, @ICE_Markets has self-certified Binary Options on underlying economic events (i.e., Event Contracts).
Per this article ( the markets are expected to launch on August 10th.
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Tomorrow & Wednesday = @FIFAWorldCup Semi-Finals ⚽🔥
France vs Spain (Tue)
England vs Argentina (Wed)
Wednesday also brings the start of LoL Esports World Cup 🎮
Time to create combos on @Polymarket and chase the $50K in daily bonuses! 💰
Who’s in? 👀
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ANNOUNCING: The Combo Cup.
$50k in daily bonuses — paid out to the top Combo trades on Polymarket.com
Ends July 31st.
Place any combo here:
This flew under the radar 👀👀
@ICE_Markets announced new Economic Indicator Futures on @federalreserve , @ecb & @bankofengland rate decisions + U.S. natural gas storage.
It follows their Polymarket Signals and Sentiment service, which turns crowd-sourced probabilities into structured market signals for institutions.
Prediction market power → regulated futures
Launching August 10, 2026.
Institutional game changer?
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ICE today announced the planned launch of its first Economic Indicator Futures Contracts.
The new futures will be based on central bank rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve System, European Central Bank and Bank of England, providing exposure to scheduled policy meetings across the three most systemically important central banks in the world, and on U.S. natural gas storage inventory levels, which are published weekly by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
The new contracts are scheduled to launch on August 10, 2026, subject to completion of relevant regulatory processes. The product codes will be: OID; OIS; OIR; EUD; EUS; EUR; MPL; MPS; MPR; EWP.
Read the release:
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I remember to mention GRID to @thejay back in January.
Now almost half a year later it will become integrated part of @Polymarket and @KairosTradeX.
This is massive for esports trading as it gives you almost same advantage in trading as some bots have (at least in terms of information access).
Esport trading is gaining huge advantage
Can’t wait for that
@PolymarketCS2 @PolymarketLoL
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Polymarket 🤝 GRID
As the exclusive prediction market of Grid, we will be rolling out an all new esports experience: ad-free & faster-than-public streams, official data straight from game servers, a redesigned esports page, & more.
Massive rewards live now.
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$2.3bn volume yesterday
another ATH 🥳
and combos are still in beta for just World Cup (as per now)
Happy @Polymarket volume ATH day!🥳🥳
$1.1bn daily volume hit on just 1st day of @FIFAWorldCup
Football (soccer) is superior sport across whole World.
More to come!
🥳🥳
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Happy @Polymarket volume ATH day!🥳🥳
$1.1bn daily volume hit on just 1st day of @FIFAWorldCup
Football (soccer) is superior sport across whole World.
More to come!
🥳🥳
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