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The All-In Podcast
@theallinpod
@chamath, @jason, @davidsacks, and @friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social, and poker.
8 Following    601.8K Followers
Chamath on Obama’s AI Warning: Follow the Money President Obama last week: “If we are thinking about AI just in terms of how do we cure cancer or get better energy, you can do that without having agentic AI. That's a misalignment between what our society needs and the commercial imperatives that these companies are facing.” @Chamath: “This is a very important moment for a very simple reason, which is we, as in the world, are about to endow three, four, five, six companies with about $10T of wealth. And what Obama knows very well is that most of those companies are overwhelmingly left-leaning. And what he also knows is that there is a huge portion of that money that will then get put into philanthropic and charitable causes that then he, and the people around him, will be beneficiaries of. That is the truth. We already know this because we know that some of these frontier corporations actually ask you to stand up DAFs and have a portion of your stock that you're willing to pledge. So this money is going to go to things other than consumption or savings. And so it's going to go into PACs, it's going to go into political movements, and (Democrats) stand to disproportionately benefit. So this has nothing to do with prosperity. This is a very simple political calculus. If you freeze frame the economy the way it is today, a handful of organizations that will disproportionately be able to affect the Democrats will win. They will capture the lion's share of the economic gains, and then they will help the Democrats win power. That's all this is.”
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David Friedberg: Obama Doesn’t Understand AI and He’s Making Prosperity Political President Obama last week: “If we are thinking about AI just in terms of how do we cure cancer or get better energy, you can do that without having agentic AI. That's a misalignment between what our society needs and the commercial imperatives that these companies are facing.” @friedberg: “These words honestly just, they made me, like, emotionally distressed that if he's a leader that people listen to and he doesn't really articulate accurately what's going on, it's sad that we've lost the plot. I think it's sad that we aren't all kind of holding hands saying, ‘My God, the future is here, and we all get to leap forward, and we get to bring people up.’ For years, Obama orated beautifully about the importance of bringing people up, about giving people the opportunity to progress, about letting people advance themselves. And there's never been a more equalizing technology, a better economic opportunity for prosperity for everyone than these technologies, than these tools. And to hand wave the word agentic and say we don't need agentic AI to solve cancer shows how little he actually understands how this technology works and how it's all become just a shorthand for a political fight to what? What are you fighting for? What is the political battle that says, ‘I am going to leave half the population behind, and I'm going to make an argument against prosperity for all, in order to make my party look like a morally superior party, and to cast the other side as bad when the other side has literally discovered fire and the world now has fire, and we're going to go take water and throw it on the fire.’ No one gets fire because the other guys are saying that fire is good.”
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POD UP: The Besties are Back! 🚨🔥 -- Anthropic IPO at Risk, OpenAI's Pushed Back to 2027 Over "Safety" -- AI Chaos Reactions, The Frontier "Lab" Problem -- Token Prices Fall, Open Source Gains Share -- Political Reactions to Pacing the Frontier: Trump, Obama, Bernie, Bessent -- Meta’s Muse Moment -- Has AI Alignment Backfired? (0:00) Bestie Intros: Favorite All-In Summit moments (3:54) Reacting to AI chaos: Liability, competition, and rebranding frontier "labs" (20:03) Open source performance and cost: What this means for frontier companies (29:22) Anthropic and OpenAI postpone IPOs: liquidity risk and open source pressure (53:11) Political reactions to "Pacing the Frontier": Bernie's AI ban, Trump, Bessent, Obama (1:07:58) Meta launches Muse, AI "alignment," Oracle's Force Majeure (1:27:13) Anthropic’s bio research and "wet lab" in SF
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Thank you to De’Longhi, All-In’s official coffee partner. Based in Italy, De’Longhi is the global leader in home coffee innovation, bringing café-quality coffee experiences into the home. After all, if it’s not Italian, is it even espresso? #AllInSummit# #Delonghi#
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Steve Hilton: “California has become a state where if you do the right thing, you're punished, and if you do the wrong thing, you're rewarded. That is upside down, but that's the story beneath everything, and that's what we need to turn around. That's what this election is actually about.” “There's this Latino couple who wanted me to come and see their business in South Central LA. It's not Skid Row, but it's pretty rough, and it's the usual squalor that I'm afraid we're used to in this city because they don't know how to run the place. But in the middle of all that squalor, this beautiful little store. It's a shoe store, and they've been running it fourteen years. Latino couple. We went in, we were talking, they gave me all the usual things that I'm very familiar with; the taxes, the ridiculous bureaucracy, the permits that get more complicated and costly every year, the electric bill, et cetera. They said, ‘But that's not why we wanted you to come here. Come with me.’ They took me outside. We went for a walk, two city blocks. Could have gone even further. Every single part of the sidewalk: street vendors. You think, ‘Illegal street vendors. What are they selling?’ Shoes and apparel and T-shirts. Just the entire sidewalk. This 14-year business, a lovely little local business, everything spotless, everything clean, exactly what we would want to see, is going out of business because you've got people there that are not paying taxes, not paying electric, not paying rent, not complying with any licensing. And then I said to the guy, ‘When did all this happen? Has this been here all the time you've been here?’ ‘No, it's the last six or seven years.’ I said, ‘Is it something to do with the pandemic?’ ‘No.’ I looked into it. Eight years ago, in 2018, they passed a bill in Sacramento to legalize street vending in California across the state. Cities can't do anything about it. Counties can't do anything about it. What does it tell you when you take that into account?” @SteveHiltonx ------------------------------ Thanks to our partners for making this possible! Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me:
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POV: You're an attendee at the All-In Summit. Three days of main stage conversations with the people shaping business, technology, and society. The All-In Summit returns to LA September 12-14, 2027. Be the first in the room: #AllInSummit# #Meta# #MetaGlasses# #MetaPOV# #POV# @Meta
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Jensen Huang: America Needs Open Source to Win AI... Because Open Source Lets Every American Win @JensenHuang: “In the last six months, $400B of venture funding went into AI-native companies. 80% of them use open models. If not for open models, how could they build their dream? Because their dream could be different. Obviously, it'll be different than the frontier labs' dreams. America has so many different ways to innovate. That's one of our core strengths. Great ideas just coming out of the fountain, and so open models enables that.” @friedberg: “Does it matter if the open models come from China or the US?” Jensen: “Probably the vast majority of the world's contribution to open source today is coming from China. They just have a lot more engineers. They contribute to open source today. We download Linux, we download Kubernetes, we download all the software. A lot of it has been touched by (the) Chinese, and once you download it, it's yours. We fork it, we improve it, we make it ours. And so when you download one of these Chinese models, it just happens to be made by some really great researchers in China, but it's now yours. If we want to win the AI race, it's not about a few technology companies winning the AI race. It's about every company in America, every industry, every researcher, every teacher, every student, every startup, everybody wins. Some of them will use closed models. A lot of them will use open models.” $NVDA ------------------------------ Thanks to our partners for making this possible! Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me:
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A peek inside the All-In Summit Gift Boutique, presented by Attendees stopped by to grab exclusive All-In merch surprises from our partners, one of the best-kept corners of the venue. + is your All-In merch partner for corporate gifting, swag, and global drop-shipping. + Caldera + Lab is a leader in performance skincare made specifically for men, powered by proprietary science and clinically proven to deliver visible results. + Velocity Black is a digital concierge and lifestyle management platform offering 24/7 elite travel, dining, and experience access via app. #AllInSummit# #CalderaLab# #MerchDotCom# #VelocityBlack#
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Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI training and inference. Oracle connects the data, applications, and infrastructure that turn AI into business outcomes—with the flexibility, choice, and control to optimize as AI evolves. EY helps tech innovators scale from startup to exit to megacap. You build the future. We’ll handle the rest. Meta believes the future is for everyone. We're focused on giving every person the tools to reach their full potential and making sure the benefits of technology are distributed to all. Keel Infrastructure owns the power, land, and connectivity that HPC and AI run on - backed by secured energy assets and established grid interconnections across North America. Airwallex - Agentic Global Business Accounts. Open local accounts in 70+ countries to accept payments, earn yield, pay globally, and manage spend. PayPal has been revolutionizing commerce globally for more than 25 years. Creating innovative experiences that make moving money, selling, and shopping simple, personalized, and secure, PayPal empowers consumers and businesses in approximately 200 markets to join and thrive in the global economy. For more information, visit Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me:
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Jensen Huang Calls Out AI Doomers: “All of These Predictions Have Been Wrong” @chamath: “What does that mean, 10% chance of extinction?” @JensenHuang: “It's made up, and it shouldn't be done. It's irresponsible. Now, the fact of the matter is, let's go back and look at the real facts. There was a prediction that in five years' time, radiology will be completely taken over by artificial intelligence and there'll be no radiologists in the world. That has proven to be exactly the opposite. We need more radiologists than ever in the world. However, AI has taken over radiology completely, which is great. It has automated scan reading, which is great. There was a prediction that within 6-12 months, 90% of code would already be generated by AI. That has turned out to be wrong. Within 6-9 months, that was predicted last year, 50% of entry jobs will be wiped out. That has proven to be wrong. What else has proven to be wrong? I mean, all of these predictions have been wrong.” @DavidSacks: “GPT-2 would be too unsafe to release, that LLaMA-3 would be too unsafe to release.” @Jason: “Half of white collar jobs would be gone next year.” Sacks: “The jobs apocalypse, yeah.” Jensen: “We have to take accountability. We have to take account for all of the stupid predictions that were made. Somebody has to take (accountability). And, and so we ought to just keep track of all that, and of course, people do, and remind us that those, those predictions are inconsistent with, ultimately, America winning the AI race.” $NVDA ------------------------------ Thanks to our partners for making this possible! PayPal has been revolutionizing commerce globally for more than 25 years. Creating innovative experiences that make moving money, selling, and shopping simple, personalized, and secure, PayPal empowers consumers and businesses in approximately 200 markets to join and thrive in the global economy. For more information, visit Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me:
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Wet your beak and go All-In. Our Pot-distilled Extra Añejo Tequila is best paired with good friends and a lively debate. Limited supply of Besties All-In Tequila bottles are available. Grab one today: #AllInSummit# #AllInTequila#
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POV: You're a Bestie attending the All-In Summit. A first-hand experience at the unexpected speaker surprises, immersive partner activations, and showstopping after parties. Be the first in the room for 2027 and apply today when All-In returns to Los Angeles: #AllInSummit# #Meta# #MetaGlasses# #MetaPOV# #POV# @Meta
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Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI training and inference.  Oracle connects the data, applications, and infrastructure that turn AI into business outcomes—with the flexibility, choice, and control to optimize as AI evolves. EY helps tech innovators scale from startup to exit to megacap. You build the future. We’ll handle the rest. Meta believes the future is for everyone. We're focused on giving every person the tools to reach their full potential and making sure the benefits of technology are distributed to all. Keel Infrastructure owns the power, land, and connectivity that HPC and AI run on - backed by secured energy assets and established grid interconnections across North America. Airwallex - Agentic Global Business Accounts. Open local accounts in 70+ countries to accept payments, earn yield, pay globally, and manage spend. PayPal has been revolutionizing commerce globally for more than 25 years. Creating innovative experiences that make moving money, selling, and shopping simple, personalized, and secure, PayPal empowers consumers and businesses in approximately 200 markets to join and thrive in the global economy. For more information, visit Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me:
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All-In Summit After Dark, presented by The Venetian Resort Las Vegas (@VenetianVegas) Great people and unstoppable energy all night long to close out our fifth annual All-In Summit. We look forward to seeing you in the room next year. #AllInSummit#
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The All-In Summit wrapped this week in LA, and it delivered. Surprise speakers took the stage, incredible partner activations, and after parties that ran deep into the night. Next year, All-In Summit is returning to LA and already shaping up to be even bigger and better. Be the first in the room to apply today: #AllInSummit# @Jason @DavidSacks @friedberg @chamath
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All-In Summit: Bill Gurley (0:00) Bill Gurley takes the stage at the All-In Summit (1:29) Bill's Presentation: Searching for Feynman Links to additional resources mentioned in talk and used in research: @bgurley
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All-In Summit: NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman A New Era for NASA and American Space Exploration (0:00) NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman lays out the state and future of NASA (17:59) Moon base, creating new space industries, NASA's next chapter (23:29) How to make Mars realistic (25:30) Recruiting, moonshots, the "Nuclear NASA," new vehicles and the importance of humans in space (32:43) Allocating capital toward scientific discovery and deep space research (35:46) Space Race 2.0: China and Russia @rookisaacman @NASAAdmin
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did someone say something about frame mogging?
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J-Cal to Nick Shirley: You’re Kicking Ass at Exposing Fraud. They Want to Stop You. Don’t Stop. @Jason: “The fact that they're creating laws to try to stop you from doing basic journalism means you're kicking f***ing ass, Nick. Don't stop. What you represent to them is a threat, because they came up and they wanted to do what you're doing. They were idealistic, these journalists, and they wanted to be brave enough to uncover these things, and they've become captured and politicized, and they have picked a side. You haven't. That's why they criticize you, and the criticism they have of you is, ‘Oh, he wasn't fact-checking here, wasn't thorough enough here.’ Yeah, okay, fine. On the margins, you're learning on the job, and I've had conversations with you privately about little nuances of things that you need to tighten up. None of that is important. What's important is that you find fraud. You find actual, real fraud, and you put the people on camera, and you shame them, and then they get arrested. And you're forcing the AGs in this country to face it, and it's just you. It's just you and your pure desire and energy to do it, and that's what journalists hate about you. Because they could do it, too. And they should be ashamed that they don't. This was the job of 60 Minutes and Frontline, and they forgot how to do their job, and you're picking up the mantle of what Frontline and 60 Minutes used to be.” @nickshirleyy: “I agree. Give me some.” Jason: “You’re my guy.” Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI training and inference.  Airwallex - Agentic Global Business Accounts. Open local accounts in 70+ countries to accept payments, earn yield, pay globally, and manage spend. PayPal has been revolutionizing commerce globally for more than 25 years. Creating innovative experiences that make moving money, selling, and shopping simple, personalized, and secure, PayPal empowers consumers and businesses in approximately 200 markets to join and thrive in the global economy. For more information, visit
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All-In Summit: Nick Shirley -- New Video on California's High Speed Rail "Road to Nowhere" -- Exposing Government Fraud -- Suing California Over the "Stop Nick Shirley Act" -- Taking on the Media (0:00) Nick Shirley debuts his new video at the All-In Summit: "Inside California's High Speed Rail to Nowhere" (11:42) Nick joins The Besties on stage to discuss California's "Stop Nick Shirley Act" and recent fraud arrests (17:03) How he got into investigative journalism and finding fraud (23:32) Selective journalism and why Nick is a major threat to mainstream outlets (27:34) What's next for Nick: Investigating welfare fraud, building his platform @nickshirleyy
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