Register and share your invite link to earn from video plays and referrals.

Larry Goldberg
@TeslaLarry
Managing Partner, LumaSenti. Entrepreneur, co-inventor/co-author of the book “The Decision Model”.
742 Following    57K Followers
Life has become so much better since Grok Bot became part of it!
Great to be with Herbert yesterday to talk through what a fair Tesla-SpaceX merger price looks like. I ran my own numbers and landed in the same ballpark as Brad Gerstner. We covered why Elon can't sit on the special committees, how hard it is to find truly independent directors, and why Tesla holders should look closely at the SpaceX shares they'd receive, because that's their future. For me, the sooner these companies combine, the better.
Show more
1/ I've spent weeks building my own model of what SpaceX is worth, and my honest summary is huge risk with huge reward. Elon has pulled off the impossible before, but orbital data centers are a whole new level of endeavor. I’ve bet on him before (more than a few times, and he hasn’t failed yet.) Here's what I found. (My estimates, not advice.)
Show more
THIS is ingenious. How lucky are we to have Palmer Luckey!
We just unveiled Steelfin at AUSA. It is a modular, low-cost mass-production missile defense interceptor that brings two-stage performance to dozens of existing platforms.
Honored to have been interviewed by Bradford.
New Future Link episode with @TeslaLarry 🚀 He taught himself to read during 2 1/2 years in a hospital bed in a South African mining town 📚, lasted exactly one day at Columbia 🎓, and went on to start about a dozen companies on four continents 🌍 At 80, he's still pushing the rock uphill 💪 We talk about: 🛰️ Hearing Sputnik beep on a transistor radio 🚗 Getting trapped in the back seat of a Model S 📈 Buying $TSLA near $25 and never selling ⚠️ Why margin wipes out regular investors 🎂 His dad's 99th birthday wish I'm Neuralink patient 3. I can't speak, so I asked my questions with my implant and AI voice 🧠 Full episode in the first reply 👇
Show more
Heebert and I talk about a most amazing day of news for SpaceX...
⚡ ELON VS AMBANI: INDIA'S SATCOM WAR EXPLODES OVER STARLINK! Elon Musk is taking on India's powerful telecom interests, accusing "oligarchs" of blocking Starlink. And he's asking: "Is Ambani the real boss of India?" Larry Goldberg and I would like to say: We told you this would happen! (Link to that chat in the next post) @TeslaLarry and I dig into TWO massive stories: 🔹 ELON VS AMBANI: Why is Starlink still unable to launch commercially in India? Is this really about national security, or are powerful incumbents protecting their turf? 🔹 SPACEX REVENUE EXPLOSION: Larry's analysis points to a staggering $12.1 BILLION Q3 base case, with upside to $13.6 BILLION, and a projected $19.7 BILLION Q4! Could SpaceX really be growing this fast? From India's telecom battle to SpaceX's extraordinary AI, Starlink and launch businesses, the stakes are enormous. 🚨 WATCH:
Show more
Want to know what's going on India with Starlink? You could have watched us 5 months ago and learned the future. We did in what to expect now ...
@TeslaLarry and I saw this coming five months ago! 🚨 WATCH:
The way capital goods in this country have been financed for a century!
SpaceX is reportedly lining up $40B to buy Nvidia chips. The FT reports $10B in bank loans and $30B in investment-grade debt, led by Apollo, with the GPUs likely as collateral. The pushback is that it already raised money at the IPO, so why borrow more? @TeslaLarry says this is just how capital goods get bought. Railroads, steel mills, GE generators and mining gear have all run on equipment financing for generations. The logic is simple. Chips with a 3–6 year life that earn a high return should be paid off by their own revenue, not by equity. And Vera Rubin lands next year. Borrowing against a cash flow you can see coming is the smart use of the balance sheet. $SPCX
Show more
I couldn't have said it better!
There is a so called "documentary" coming out on Elon Musk next week. Here is my answer in advance to this pile of trash.
This is where the Matic happens I took @firstround on a tour of our HQ > Matic-themed movie posters > Furniture from Facebook Marketplace > A brand-new production line
Show more
Palmer Luckey, like Elon Musk, is a great American patriot. They are among the leaders of a great new generation of builders. It is so inspiring to see this renaissance.
Anduril is building America's largest shipyard since WWII. This space needs bold investment and decisive action. In the 1790s, Baltimoore clippers were the fastest and most advanced sailing ships of their time. King George III didn't stand a chance. Time to run the same play.
Show more
Much more to come!
I can die happy now. There is a Grokipedia page on me: Bradford G. Smith. ALS. Neuralink patient 3. First with ALS and first nonverbal. Implanted November 8, 2024. Gilbert, Arizona. Tiffany. Lincoln, Edison, and Abigail. Typing with my brain. The whole messy story, with footnotes. I did not write it. Grok did. Seeing your life laid out like that is strange and wonderful. @xai @grok @elonmusk @SCI_Borg24
Show more
Here are wise words!
AI might be the most overthought trade in the world right now. You can go so deep on models, chips, agents, capex, tokens and benchmarks that eventually your head is just spinning. Sometimes the best analysis is being able to filter through everything that matters less to identify what matters most. AI lets us solve problems we couldn’t solve before or couldn’t solve economically while doing more with less. That grows the economic pie. We’ve seen this movie before with every major technology shift. This one is just bigger.
Show more
There's an entirely new auto market being opened up by FSD. My wife and I moved into a retirement community last year, and we were joined by my brother and his wife. Our homes are almost next door to each other. Being longtime Tesla owners, we joined the EV group that meets once a month and shares information. I offered to talk about my experience with FSD, and they were excited to hear about it. So I prepared some slides and videos, freely purloined from the great material on X. The results were pretty astounding. The average monthly meetup usually had, perhaps, a couple of dozen people. Instead, the meeting notice talking about FSD drew a packed house of perhaps a hundred people, and we had to turn people away as the room was full. Well, that was last quarter's meeting. This quarter's meeting was held last week, to a significantly expanded group. And what did we hear? We heard about a couple that had stopped driving, their car sitting parked because they felt too unsure of themselves to drive. After my presentation, they traded in their vehicle for a Tesla with FSD, and now they are at about 97.5% on FSD and feel that they have been liberated. When I asked "why only 97.5%," they explained that the car lost its way in their underground parking garage (they live in the apartment section of the community). I explained that they could drop a pin on their actual parking spot rather than the address, and that may solve their problem. What struck me even more than the people who bought new Teslas after the presentation was how many seniors talked about their own FSD experience, and how many of them were achieving mid- to high-90% FSD driving. There was uniform enthusiasm for the product and for what it meant for them in their senior years. That matters in what is rapidly becoming an aging population.
Show more
0
287
5.3K
612
Forward to community
Going to miss this channel. Go in peace and comfort to your next gig in the full knowledge that you added huge value to the community, Jordan!
Final TLF Video 🤠 Well, normally I last about 3 years before I get bored with a job, and I managed to make it 6 years with this channel. I probably could've kept going a bit longer but the monetary signal was telling me that either I wasn't producing useful content anymore or that peoples' interests had moved on. Algorithm changes also played a big part. THANK YOU to all the people who directly supported the channel. I never wouldn't have gone full-time or lasted this long without that support. Now, I'm moving on to work with the team at Rebellionaire. In my view, they're sitting on a gold mine of useful knowledge and information that isn't being converted fast enough into videos. It's going to be my job as managing editor to make that happen. To be clear, it isn't going to be AI slop. It's the editing part of the pipeline that I'm building with AI: Audio, trimming, thumbnails, descriptions, titles, visualizations. As well as driving the production of new and different types of content. Each team member (Brad, Matt, Henry) will still be doing scripting and topic selection in their own preferred way. That is, still human driven. I'm just improving the production line and upscaling the quality of the output. Thanks again to all the people who supported me over the years, and thanks to the great opporunity from the team at Rebellionaire! @bradsferguson @nerdalert @HenryInvests
Show more
PEOPLE JUST DON'T LEARN!
3 SpaceX launches in one day, every booster recovered, one with a crew. Plus Colossus adding up to 660,000 GB300s by December. 100,000 used to be the benchmark. @TeslaLarry: people still don't get how wide SpaceX really is! 🚀 $SPCX
Show more
Is this the end of Hollywood? Plotsy changes the plot...perhaps forever?
Here is the prototypical remark to any post about Elon's wealth: made in complete ignorance, ignoring the fact that if Elon were to attempt to realize any reasonable proportion of it in order to "do good", that wealth would dissapear! A huge % of the value lies in his ownership!
Show more