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Jeff Lutz ๐Ÿ”‹
@thejefflutz
Ex Corp VP Supply Chain & Chief Quality Officer at Motorola, Google, Lenovo
2.6K Following    58.5K Followers
Very well stated ๐Ÿ‘‡ โ€œIf youโ€™re a semi/tech investor, you need to step back and look at how Wall Street completely misinterprets the physical realities of chip manufacturing. Two weeks ago, the market panicked over an unnamed Shanghai firm building five 2008 vintage DUV tools, a rounding error of a machine with decades of precision optics gaps that threatened approximately zero of $ASMLโ€™s structural moat this decade. โ€œ
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@firstadopter @SemiAnalysis_ I trust @SemiAnalysis_ for validation of upstream supply chain activity along with triangulating others
The feelings I have are happiness and hopefulness when I see this for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and for people. The arc of manufacturing is bending back towards the USA ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ. After decades of seeing mega sites built elsewhere, our time has come. This will top them all too. Thank you Tesla & SpaceX !
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Starlink V3 shares a lot of similarities in complexity and system elements to a space based datacenter. The progress on V3 seems to be going very well ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ‘€ $SPCX
Important , read ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘‡ Tesla Cybercab NOT held to volume limits ala Zoox. Cybercab pursuing a different path to deployment qualification w/out these limits
Jensen on X!
For my first post, Iโ€™m sharing a letter @NVIDIA signed on why open models matter. AI will transform every industry, power every company, and be built by every country. Open models strengthen safety and cybersecurity, accelerate innovation and diffusion, and enable sovereignty. The world needs both frontier closed models and frontier open models.
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Elon Musk says @Tesla is undergoing โ€œprobably the fastest industrial scale-up since World War II in America.โ€ โ€ข Optimus Production lines: - 1M/yr in Fremont - 10M/yr in Texas (under construction) โ€ข Autonomous Cybercab Production at Giga Texas: the second largest building in the world by volume. โ€ข Terafab Semiconductor chip production in Texas (with memory) totaling 100M sqft! โ€ข Ramping towards 400MW of total capacity at their Cortex 1 and 2 datacenters. โ€ข Battery materials & cells: - Lithium refining & cathode materials in Texas - LFP cell production in Nevada - 4680 cell production in multiple sites in Texas, and Nevada โ€ข Solar Production: - New solar factory building in Houston area - Existing solar production factory in New York Just wait.
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The current adminโ€™s policies & rhetoric on EVs was always a political issue vs actual substance. Tesla makes better safer cars that now drive themselves with the best value/$ available. Pres Trump knows that hence the numerous family purchases
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๐Ÿ”ฅ EPIC! Q: How does Trump feel about self-driving cars? KAROLINE LEAVITT: "President Trump had a red TESLA here at the White House for quite some time! So he's a supporter of them. He's purchased self-driving cars for his family members, his grandchildren. He supports them and Americans who want to drive them." LFG! @ElonMusk ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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Are we surprised ?
BREAKING: Nancy Pelosi votes against House bill banning members of Congress from purchasing individual stocks.
Ashok Elluswamy, VP of AI Software from $TSLA says eventually Robotaxi will turn on entire states at a time. The message from the company on Robotaxi is they're doing what they said they would. Keep it safe, learn, and reading between the lines, they think they can eventually drop a bomb on Waymo.
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Tesla FSD % adoption has been historically touted at single digits to low teens. Now in North America (largest FSD capable area), 55% of car sales are shipping with the FSD subscription selected by the buyer. FSD is selling cars. Likely a point of meaningful inflection ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿผ
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Tesla 10% weekly compounding of @robotaxi miles is mathematically explosive. 7.3wks to double, 1.75 doublings (almost 2) per qtr, 142x in 1yr. The question for Tesla is how long can you maintain a 10% weekly compounding rate & what's the constraint?
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If Tesla is going to reference a march of 9's regarding unsupervised FSD / Robotaxi / Cybercab, then they should start considering sharing some data on it! Thanks for your attention on this matter!
When the earnings call gets turned over to the GC....
Given what's going on in the memory supply world (disaster), the Micron allocation to Tesla (called out by Elon) was great to hear
We have information that Moonshot AI distilled Anthropicโ€™s Fable for the development of its K3 model. To do this they developed a sophisticated internal platform to conduct large scale distillation against U.S. models, allowing them to quickly switch between multiple methods of access to avoid detection. Moonshot AI has also acquired GB300-equipped servers and has accessed GB300s in Thailand, likely to train its AI models. ย  The United States strongly supports the free and fair development of AI, including a thriving competitive ecosystem that spans frontier models, specialized systems, open-source frameworks, and open-weight models. Legitimate AI distillation used to create smaller, more efficient models plays a vital role in this open innovation ecosystem. However, large-scale, covert industrial distillation aimed at stealing proprietary U.S. technology and undermining American research is unacceptable.
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There has been a notion that Elon and company (SpaceX to be exact) is not building on the frontier. I've commented on this in the past: FALSE. Mr Musk is going hard and will continue to do so until SpaceX AI (aka Grok) dominates. And Tesla is deeply involved in this tea party, namely in real-world models. This is obvious if you are listening to the right signals. $SPCX $TSLA
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Two Chinese automotive influencers share their testing of FSD v14.3.4 in Los Angeles. Before coming to the U.S., they believed Chinese autonomous driving systems such as Huawei ADS, XPeng VLA, and Li Auto ADAS were the worldโ€™s best. After spending several days extensively testing Teslaโ€™s FSD, they changed their minds, acknowledging that Chinese systems still have room for improvement before catching up with FSD. At this point, itโ€™s very clear that FSD is the benchmark for every autonomous system in China.
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