life update: i joined @sundayrobotics and i am beaming with joy! ⭐ i fell in love with robotics when i was 13, and this week made it feel full circle. i’ve wanted an in-home robot since i was a kid, one that could help my loved ones in their day to day so we had more time for each other, and it’s beautiful to know we’re getting closer to achieving that. the future of human-robot interaction feels so bright right now. SO excited for this next chapter. thank you @tonyzzhao, @chichengcc, and especially @flooburrito for getting me here 🤍 also memo is so cute, and yes, we matched in polka dots!! 🥰

Once in a career, a company comes along that you can't just underwrite from the outside. You have to build it. For me, that's @sundayrobotics, where I'm joining as Head of Business. Autonomous consumer robotics is a generational opportunity, but exceptionally hard to execute. You need rare strength across the full stack: research, product, distribution, and culture. Very few companies have it all - until I met @tonyzzhao and @chichengcc. I was blown away and knew within just a week that this was the team I wanted to build with. More importantly, they are incredible humans to work with🫶🏻. The kind of founders who make hard things fun :) I saw the Sunday magic in my first week: we shipped ACT-2 Preview, a research breakthrough that enables Memo to work reliably in homes it has never seen before. The timeline for home robots is shortening fast. Grateful to my incredible partners and founders at @generalcatalyst for everything that led me here. If you want to help bring Memo to every home, dm me. We are hiring 🌻!

In 2018, Sarah Guo became the youngest general partner in Greylock's 60-year history. She was 28. Four years later, she quit to launch Conviction, a firm staked entirely on AI. Before ChatGPT shipped, she seeded Baseten and Harvey; each is now worth over $11 billion. In Conviction's first year, she wrote early checks into Sierra, Cognition, and Mistral; those three companies are now worth, together, $54 billion. Andrej Karpathy worked out of Conviction's office until Anthropic hired him in May. Guo has been close to Jensen Huang for over a decade. Her first two calls after starting the firm were to Sam Altman and Nat Friedman. And yet the investor closest to the AI frontier is betting against its biggest companies. The two big frontier labs, worth close to a trillion dollars apiece, no longer just want to build the models. They also want to build every product and company on top of them, leaving nothing for anyone else. The market is paying as though they might succeed. Of the $300 billion in venture capital deployed in the first quarter of 2026, the biggest quarter in the history of the trade, 65% went to only four companies: Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, and Waymo. Guo is betting the labs can't build everything, and she spends her days making sure of it. She won Harvey its first client. She flew across the country to take a single Baseten candidate to a four-hour lunch. On one wedding anniversary, she spent the whole weekend on back-to-back calls, keeping two founders on the line so they couldn't speak to rival firms. Twice a year, she flies the world's brightest young founders to San Francisco and inducts them into the fight. In the months @domcooke spent reporting this piece, @saranormous had her fourth child, walked the Met Gala in 45 pounds of chainmail, and still answered her founders' texts within minutes. Guo's parents arrived from China in 1987 with $50, built a company, and took it public at $1.2 billion. Then it went bankrupt. Guo grew up inside that startup. She built its first website, did her homework in a cubicle, and slept over for bug bashes. She loved it. If two labs build everything, no one gets to do that again. Welcome to Sarah's Wager. Read it below.